SEC Company Response from OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORP (ORI) (CIK 0000074260) (ORI) — Jul 7, 2006
OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORP (ORI) (CIK 0000074260)
Date: July 7, 2006 · CIK: 0000074260 · Accession: 0000074260-06-000077
AI Filing Summary & Sentiment
File numbers found in text: 001-10607
Referenced dates: May 25, 2006
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July 7, 2006
Mr. Jim B. Rosenberg
Senior Assistant Chief Accountant
United States Securities and Exchange Commission
Mail Stop 03-09
Washington, DC 20549
Re: Old Republic International Corporation
Form 10-K, fiscal year ended December 31, 2005
File No. 001-10607
Dear Mr. Rosenberg,
We have reviewed the comments on our above referenced filing in your letter
dated May 25, 2006. Old Republic's response to the Commission's comments is as
follows:
Item 7 - Management analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,
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page 23
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Comment 1 - Critical Accounting Estimates
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We are aware of the requirements of Section V of Financial Reporting Release No.
72 that requires disclosure in Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) of
material uncertainties associated with the methods, assumptions and estimates
underlying the Company's critical accounting measurements. We have historically
taken the approach of embedding the discussion of our critical accounting
estimates within the corresponding section of MD&A rather than presenting a
separate discussion. However, in an effort to enhance the disclosure we agree to
prospectively modify our MD&A to include a separate discussion immediately
following the "Executive Summary".
Critical Accounting Estimates
The Company's annual and interim financial statements incorporate a large number
and types of estimates relative to matters which are highly uncertain at the
time the estimates are made. The estimation process required of an insurance
enterprise is by its very nature highly dynamic inasmuch as it necessitates a
continual process of evaluating, analyzing, and quantifying factual data as it
becomes known to the Company. As a result, actual experienced outcomes can
differ from the estimates made at any point in time, and thus affect future
periods' reported revenues, expenses, net income, and financial condition.
Old Republic believes that its most critical accounting estimates relate to: a)
the determination of other-than-temporary impairments in the value of fixed
maturity and equity investments; b) the establishment of deferred acquisition
costs which vary directly with the production of insurance premiums; c) the
recoverability of reinsured paid and/or outstanding losses; and d) the reserves
for losses and loss adjustment expenses. The major assumptions and methods used
in the establishment of these estimates are discussed in the pertinent sections
of this Management Analysis and are summarized as follows:
<PAGE>
a) Other-than-temporary impairments in the value of investments:
Individual securities are considered for a possible write-down:
* In the event their market value has dropped by 20% or more below their par
or amortized cost and/or the security has been in an unrealized loss
position for twelve consecutive months;
* In the event of issuer default on significant obligations or emergence of
such adverse information as to bring into question the validity of
previously reported earnings or financial condition; and
* When the probability of non-recovery of the original investment is
established, the foregoing events or occurrences notwithstanding.
For the three years ended December 31, 2005, pretax charges due to
other-than-temporary impairments in the value of securities reduced pretax
income within a range of 2.4% and 0.8% and averaged 1.5% of such income.
b) Establishment of deferred acquisition Costs ("DAC")
The eligibility for deferral and the recoverability of DAC is based on the
current terms and recent profitability of the insurance contracts to which they
relate. As of the three most recent year ends, consolidated DAC balances ranged
between 2.3% and 2.1% and averaged 2.2% of consolidated assets. The annual
change in DAC balances for the three-year period reduced underwriting,
acquisition and other expenses within a range of 1.6% and 0.5%, and averaged
0.9% of such expenses.
c) The recoverability of reinsured paid and/or outstanding losses
Assets consisting of gross paid losses recoverable from assuming reinsurers, and
balance sheet date reserves similarly recoverable in future periods as gross
losses are settled and paid are established at the same time as the gross losses
are paid or recorded as reserves. Accordingly, these assets are subject to the
same estimation processes and valuations as the related gross amounts as
discussed below. As of the three most recent year ends, paid and outstanding
reinsurance recoverable balances ranged between 39.7% and 38.4% and averaged
39.1% of the related gross reserves.
d) The reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses
As discussed in pertinent sections of this Management Analysis, the reserves for
losses and related loss adjustment expenses are based on a wide variety of
factors and calculations. Among these the Company believes the most critical
are:
* The establishment of expected loss ratios for the three latest accident
years, particularly for so-called long tail coverages as to which
information about covered losses emerges and becomes more accurately
quantified over long periods of time. Long tail lines of business generally
include workers compensation, auto liability, general liability, errors and
omissions and directors and officers' liability, and title insurance. Gross
loss reserves related to such long tail coverages ranged between 86.1% and
83.8%, and averaged 84.7% of gross consolidated claim reserves as of the
three most recent year ends. Net of reinsurance recoverables, such reserves
ranged between 83.3% and 82.1% and averaged 82.6% as of the same dates.
* Loss trend factors that are used to establish the above noted expected loss
ratios. Such factors take into account such variables as judgments and
estimates for premium rate trends and adequacy, current and expected
interest rates, current and expected social and economic inflation trends,
and insurance industry statistical claim trends.
* Loss development factors based on Company and/or industry statistics that
are used to project reported losses for each accounting period to their
estimated ultimate cost.
2
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For each of the three most recent calendar years, prior accident years'
consolidated claim costs have developed favorably and consequently have had the
effect of reducing consolidated annual loss costs between 2.9% and 5.2%, or by
an average of approximately 3.8% per annum. As a percentage of each of these
years' consolidated earned premiums and fees the favorable developments have
ranged between 1.3% and 2.1%, and have averaged 1.6%.
In all the above regards the Company anticipates that future periods' financial
statements will continue to reflect changes in estimates. As in the past such
changes will result from altered circumstances, the continuum of newly emerging
information and its effect on past assumptions and judgments, the effects of
securities markets valuations, as well as changes in inflation rates and future
economic conditions beyond the Company's control. As a result, Old Republic
cannot predict, quantify, or guaranty the likely impact that probable changes in
estimates will have on its future financial condition or results of operations.
Comments 2 through 6 and 9 - Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses
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Comments 2 through 6 and 9 in the Commission's letter suggest that Old
Republic's disclosures could be improved in regard to the estimation of the
reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses, the methodology used, key
assumptions impacting the estimates, and the variability in reported results
stemming from "reasonably likely" changes to one or more of these key
assumptions.
In response, we wish to note that Old Republic's periodic estimates of loss and
loss adjustment expense reserves emanate from a significant number of analyses
performed by operating management and accounting professionals. Old Republic
does not utilize either internal or external actuaries in the reserve estimation
process. Internal actuaries are used primarily in the rate setting process and
periodically evaluate the reasonableness of management's reserve estimates for
certain accounts or blocks of business on an as needed basis. External actuaries
are engaged by the Company to perform an annual evaluation of individual
insurance subsidiary statutory carried reserves as of each balance sheet date.
As a result of their work, the external actuaries render an annual statement of
actuarial opinion for each insurance company. Such opinions are submitted to the
insurance department in the respective companies' state of domicile. There are
no significant differences between loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for
statutory and GAAP reporting purposes. Management does consider on a prospective
basis the results from the periodic actuarial evaluations in the context of
other trends and analysis available to it when making its recurring judgments on
the reasonableness of the carried loss reserves at any reporting date.
The proposed disclosures noted below are provided in the context of the
Company's loss reserve estimation process and the limitations it places on
management's ability to quantify the impact of "reasonably likely" changes in
key assumptions and future reported results. In order to clarify the Company's
disclosures in this area we propose to replace the disclosure beginning on page
35 in the 2005 Annual Report on Form 10-K under the heading "Expenses: Benefits
and Claims", with the following disclosure on a prospective basis:
Reserves for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses
In order to achieve a necessary matching of premium and fee revenues and
expenses, the Company records the benefits, claims and related settlement costs
that have been incurred during each accounting period. Total claim costs are
affected by the amount of paid claims and the adequacy of reserve estimates
established for current and prior years' claim occurrences at each balance sheet
date.
3
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The following table shows a breakdown of gross and net of reinsurance claim
reserve estimates for major types of insurance coverages as of December 31, 2005
and 2004:
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December 31,
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2005 2004
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Gross Net Gross Net
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<s> <c> <c> <c> <c>
Claim and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves:
Commercial automobile (mostly trucking)...................... $ 878.4 $ 692.9 $ 788.6 $ 635.9
Workers' compensation........................................ 1,775.0 915.1 1,607.0 814.0
General liability............................................ 991.3 418.1 808.7 350.5
Other coverages.............................................. 597.5 387.8 576.0 382.1
Unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves................. 159.2 92.9 122.0 87.2
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Total general insurance reserves....................... 4,401.7 2,507.0 3,902.4 2,269.7
Mortgage guaranty............................................ 214.7 213.7 200.5 199.1
Title........................................................ 268.8 268.8 252.5 252.5
Life and health.............................................. 26.5 19.9 22.6 16.9
Unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves -
other coverages........................................... 28.0 28.0 25.4 25.4
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Total claim and loss adjustment expense reserves....... $ 4,939.8 $ 3,037.6 $ 4,403.5 $ 2,763.8
========== ========== ========== =========
Asbestosis and environmental claim reserves included
in the above general insurance reserves:
Amount................................................ $ 170.7 $ 132.2 $ 118.9 $ 97.1
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% of total general insurance reserves................. 3.9% 5.3% 3.0% 4.3%
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The Company's reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses represents the
accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses, including incurred but not
reported losses and loss adjustment expenses. The establishment of claim
reserves by the Company's insurance subsidiaries is a reasonably complex and
dynamic process influenced by a large variety of factors as further discussed
below. Consequently, reserves established are a reflection of the opinions of a
large number of persons, of the application and interpretation of historical
precedent and trends, of expectations as to future developments, and of
management's judgment in interpreting all such factors. At any point in time the
Company is exposed to possibly higher or lower than anticipated claim costs and
the resulting changes in estimates are recorded in operations of the periods
during which they are made. Increases to prior reserve estimates are often
referred to as unfavorable development whereas any changes that decrease
previous estimates of the Company's ultimate liability are referred to as
favorable development.
Overview of Loss Reserving Process
Most of Old Republic's consolidated claim and related expense reserves stem from
its general insurance business. At December 31, 2005, such reserves accounted
for 89.1% and 82.5% of consolidated gross and net of reinsurance reserves,
respectively, while similar reserves at December 31, 2004 represented 88.6% and
82.1% of the respective consolidated amounts.
The Company's reserve setting process reflects the nature of its insurance
business and the decentralized basis upon which it is conducted. Old Republic's
general insurance operations encompass a large variety of lines or classes of
commercial insurance; it has negl